You are a Actuary!
The Actuary archetype acts like an insurance company in reverse. An insurance company will write a large number of policies on a similar class of events. For example, the risk that your car will be involved in an accident.
The company has no idea whether your car will ever crash. And nor does it have any idea whether an individual vehicle will experience a minor dent, or be totally written off. What the insurance company can calculate is the average probability of claims per thousand policies it has written. And provided it has priced its policies correctly, it can be sure of making a profit – regardless of what happens to any individual automobile.
In the same way, the Actuarial investor has identified a class of investments that he knows -- if he buys them at the right price -- will make an overall profit, regardless of whether he suffers a loss on any individual investment. Like the insurance company, the Actuarial investor’s primary focus is on probabilities.
The legendary investor, Benjamin Graham, would only buy a stock at 35% to 50% of its liquidation (or breakup) value. Since he only investigated the numbers, and did not look at the management or the company’s products in any detail, he had no way of knowing in advance whether any single stock he bought would be profitable. But he did know that by purchasing a large number of such stocks at the right price, he would make money overall.
Like other Master Investors, Graham did not operate solely from this one perspective. Indeed, as the author of the classic investment books, Security Analysis and The Intelligent Investor, he is also known as a Master Analyst. Which indeed, he was. That’s how he identified the stocks he bought – but his investment system was actuarial in nature.
The extreme example of an Actuarial investor is the commodity trader following a computerized trading system whose buy and sell instructions are generated and placed automatically by the computer. His focus is not on any of his individual investments. He spends his time attempting to improve the reliability and profitability of his system.
One of the essential components – for such an approach to be successful – is a set of strict money management rules that limit the amount of your overall capital put at risk in any individual position to a small percentage of the entire portfolio. As a result, his portfolio will usually consist of a large number of individual investments.
(Note: Since you aren't displaying scores yet, you may want to remove or edit this next sentence) If your Actuary score is less than 25% you would be advised to improve your understanding of probabilities and how they can be used in the investment world.
Summary & Next Steps
The Master Investors like Warren Buffett, Carl Icahn and George Soros can each act from all of these styles. Nevertheless, they each have a clear predisposition for one particular style. So, should you wish to be a great investor like them, you’d be advised to master all three styles even though you will primarily act from just one of them.
If your ambitions are not quite so lofty, it will pay you to be clear about the style you prefer. And to choose an investment area that’s compatible with it. One of the secrets of the great investors’ success is that they develop investment methods that are compatible with their personality.
This survey will, we trust, help you focus on the kind of investments that are right for you.
This questionnaire is based on my book, The Winning Investment Habits of Warren Buffett & George Soros. You can find more about the three archetypes of Investor, Trader, and Actuary there.
In appreciation of the time you took to complete this questionnaire, I’m sending you an invitation to receive an excerpt from the book titled: The 7 Deadly Investment Sins.
These are widely-held beliefs about investing that are hazardous to your wealth. Beliefs that Master Investors like Warren Buffett and George Soros emphatically do not share. I hope you enjoy it!
If you have any comments, questions, or feedback of any kind we'd love to hear from you. Just email ipp@marktier.com.
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PS. My Investment IQ Test is a companion to this one. You see your Investment IQ compared to that of Buffett, Icahn and Soros — and get a 9-page report, based on your answers, to help you implement the 23 winning investment habits in your own investment. Take a look at My Investment IQ Test.